Wednesday, 22 June 2016

Probability of #Brexit: 24.2% June 23rd

Today's Probability:

24.2%

Trend:

Steady

Updated:

20160623 06:21 BST

Comment:

Slight uptick from yesterday's 23.5%. 

So, today's the day, and the bookies have it as a 75.8% chance of Remain. 

This doesn't mean remain will win. It's an estimate of probability. Just to be esoteric: in 1000 parallel universes, 242 will have Brexit tomorrow. Will our universe be among them?

Yes, I know...here's the chart:



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