Today's Probability:
29.7%
Trend:
Range Bound
Updated:
20160611 06:52 BST
Comment:
A morning update as the news is full of Cameron panicking (as he does) over new polls showing Brexit leading.
But never mind the polls; follow the money! What do the bookies say.
Sure the odds imply a probability of 29.7% and yes this is a big move from the 23.8% of 2 days ago but this is still lower than the 31.2% of June 6th.
I'm calling the trend range bound till there is a breakout beyond June's high or low.
I may update later if there is movement.
But never mind the polls; follow the money! What do the bookies say.
Sure the odds imply a probability of 29.7% and yes this is a big move from the 23.8% of 2 days ago but this is still lower than the 31.2% of June 6th.
I'm calling the trend range bound till there is a breakout beyond June's high or low.
I may update later if there is movement.
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