Probability of Brexit: 28.3% June 5th

Today's Probability

Latest Probability:

28.3%

Trend:

Steady

Updated:

20160605 16:39 BST

Comment:

Regarding the methodology: I average the odds of the big 3 bookmakers (Ladbrokes, Coral & William Hill) from this page and then adjust for the overround.

It being a 2 "horse" race the overround isn't much; 5.51% today. But we like to be accurate.